Second Update on Typhoons Fitow and Danas –Deadly Storms

The southwest eyewall of Typhoon Danas ripped across the northern tip of Okinawa earlier today. The western Pacific typhoon had peak winds of close to 140 mph, the equivalent of a category 4 hurricane as it battered the Japanese island. Danas will move in a northwesterly direction as it departs the Ryukyu Islands Monday night before then taking a turn toward the north and eventually northeast Tuesday into Wednesday.

danas cat 4

This track will take the center of Danas very close to western Kyushu Tuesday into Tuesday night. During this time the center is expected to remain over water as it passes between Japan and South Korea.

danas Track

Danas will begin to weaken Tuesday into Wednesday as it is pulled north and northeastward by a frontal boundary. This frontal boundary will cause Danas to transition into an extra-tropical system over the Sea of Japan before making a landfall in northern Japan on Wednesday.

Danas will still produce locally damaging winds along with the threat for flooding rainfall and mudslides as it moves across northern Honshu Wednesday into Wednesday night. While Tokyo will dodge the worst of Danas, wind gusts on Wednesday could still top out between 50-65 kph (30-40 mph). Danas will then race east-northeastward away from Japan on Thursday, allowing the country to dry out and recover from any adverse impacts.

Typhoon Fitow has proven deadly as five people were killed and hundreds of thousands evacuated after Typhoon Fitow hit eastern China, destroying houses and farmlands and closing ports and airports. Packing winds up to 151 kms (94 miles) per hour, Fitow hit Fuding city in Fujian province early on Monday before weakening into a tropical storm later in the day, the official Xinhua news agency reported. At least five people have been killed and four others were still missing, Xinhua said on Tuesday. Flight and train services in Zhejiang province, south of Shanghai, were suspended on Monday. In Wenzhou city in Zhejiang province, the storm destroyed over 1,700 houses and 46,800 hectares of crop land, the report said.

fitow track2

So, there is still at least two more days of danger for our Eastern Friends.

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First Update on Typhoons Fitow and Danas

As of this update Typhoon Fitow is slamming the coast of China with 20M waves and winds gusting over 100 mph. China was on its highest alert for Typhoon Fitow, with hundreds of thousands evacuated as the storm was expected to slam into the east coast as early as Sunday night, weather authorities said.

The National Meteorological Center issued a red alert for the storm, saying it was expected to make landfall in China late Sunday or early Monday between southern Zhejiang province and northern Fujian province. The storm, which the center classified as “strong” with winds up to 151 kilometers (94 miles) an hour, was located about 215 kilometers southeast of the city of Wenzhou in Zhejiang on Sunday evening and was moving in a mostly westerly direction at a speed of 18 kilometers an hour.

Zhejiang has so far evacuated more than 202,000 people ahead of the expected landfall, state news agency Xinhua said. “We must not leave anybody in danger,” said Li Qiang, the provincial governor. He urged local authorities to increase inspections of dams and reservoirs as well as safety checks of chemical plants and other important facilities, Xinhua reported.

Fitow was expected to bring heavy rain and strong winds, Xinhua added, quoting the weather center as saying it was unusual for a typhoon to come ashore in China’s southeast during October. It urged authorities and residents to be especially alert. Chinese maritime authorities also issued red alerts, warning of storm tides and waves kicked up by Fitow. Fishermen were urged to return to port and local authorities were told to prepare harbor facilities and sea walls for high tides.

updatefitow &danas

Typhoon Danas is currently a CAT 2 and is expected to grow to a CAT 3 Typhoon later today. At this time models are in fair agreement of Danas making landfall or just skirting the northern periphery of Okinawa Honto by Monday evening. If this takes place the storm strongest winds will be north of the center of circulation while the weaker side of the storm will be even weaker likely due to the general momentum of the storms forward motion of 30kph being subtracted from the winds in the overall circulation.

Typhoon Danas is forecast to strike Japan at about 18:00 GMT on 8 October. Data supplied by the US Navy and Air Force Joint Typhoon Warning Center suggest that the point of landfall will be near 35.2 N, 132.3 E. Danas is expected to bring 1-minute maximum sustained winds to the region of around 120 km/h (74 mph). Wind gusts in the area may be considerably higher.

danas track

According to the Saffir-Simpson damage scale the potential property damage and flooding from a storm of Danas’s strength (category 1) at landfall includes: Storm surge generally 1.2-1.5 metres (4-5 feet) above normal. No real damage to building structures. Damage primarily to unanchored mobile homes, shrubbery, and trees. Some damage to poorly constructed signs. Some coastal road flooding and minor pier damage. There is also the potential for flooding further inland due to heavy rain.

To add to all this misery, another storm is forming over the Philippines and would hit late next week. Stay alert folks.