Eruption of the El Hierro Volcano in the Canary Islands? Heads Up East Coast

As we continue monitoring seismic events globally, we on occasion feel there is enough “unusual” activity to issue watches for potentially impacted areas.  Traditionally one of our greatest concerns is the La Palma volcano in the Canary Islands because of a very large risk that such an eruption would generate a potentially dangerous tsunami that would effect the entire east coast and doe so with less than 8 hours notice.

Such events are now occurring. In fact, there is now a Red Alert and evacuations going on in La Restinga .  Check out the map above of recent seismic activity in the area. There have been 155 earthquakes above magnitude 2 today (Saturday) alone. The seismic swarm continues with even increasing intensity, as to both the average magnitude and frequency of earthquakes, as well as amplitude of harmonic volcanic tremor which is oscillating between higher and lower phases. This might correspond to some sort of “stop and go” behavior of magma moving its way through new cracks in the lower crust beneath the island. The location of the epicenters of quakes, the presumed location of the current magma intrusions, is now about 5 km NW of the western tip of the island, and at depths between 10-17 km. No strong upwards trend is yet visible, but this could change quickly.
Today’s earthquake count so far:
– 155 earthquakes > mag 2
– including 15 between M3-3.5

Eventos_HIERRO_2D_31 (1)

Earthquakes continue with increasing magnitudes

Update Sat 23 Mar 16:41

The scenario of an eruption in the near future is becoming increasingly likely:
– Volcanic tremor continues, suggesting magma is still moving although mostly laterally for the time being to an area just north off the western tip of the island.
– Earthquakes continue at high frequency and increasing magnitudes (more than 90 quakes above magnitude 2, including 8 of magnitudes 3-3.5 so far today). Their epicenters have remained at 14-16 km depth mostly, with some shallower events as well.
– Deformation of the western part of the island continues to increase, with vertical uplift reaching about 5 cm on some stations in the westernmost part of the island. 

Again folks on the East Coast should pay attention over the next few days.  Check those bug out bags and remember the sooner you get to go the more likely you will get to safety.  If any changes occur we will post them as soon as possible.  this would reflect to a condition Yellow.

Tsunami Status Update – Atlantic Region – Remains Yellow

Our last alert was issued on August 30th. Since that time, our concerns over the Virgin Island earthquake swarms have NOT abated.  The Virgin Islands continue to have swarms of earthquakes daily in the 2.5 to 4.5 magnitude range.  However, recent significant quakes along the mid-Atlantic ridge have made these concerns a little more serious for the folks on the east coast, especially from North Carolina to Florida.

There are several factors coming together that concern us enough we are issuing this status update.  Our concern still focuses on the Cumbre Vieja Volcano with a potential collapse and tsunami at La Palma, Canary Islands.

Factor #1 – The swarms of quakes in the Virgin Islands have continued unabated, indicating either significant plate movements or eruptions in deep underwater vents, indicating plate pressure and movements.

Factor#2 – The recent quakes along the mid-Atlantic ridge and the potential for increased seismic and volcanic activity.  What we don’t have is a clear geological understanding of the East-West fault lines connecting the mid-Atlantic ridge to the seismically active regions both in the Virgin Islands and La Palma.

Factor#3 – There has been a significant increase in global seismic activity in the last 30 days.  Patrick Geryl has made more than a causal relationship to this increase in seismic activity and solar flaring , which may be somehow related to quakes.  He has been uncanningly accurate with his associated predictions for a significant period of time now, accurately predicting significant seismic events.   His hypothesis suggests that when the planets align, we can expect increased solar flaring, and the solar flaring causes increased geomagnetic pressure on the tectonic plates.  As such we are about to enter a phase of several significant alignments.  Indeed a significant solar flare has erupted from the sun, is earth directed, and due to arrive tomorrow, October 8, 2012.  In addition, there are more significant alignments due in the next two months.

October 31, 2012: Conjunction Neptune – Mercury and the Sun strong X flare possible   No real earthquake date…

3 Possible 7.5 plus earthquakes:  October 25, 29 or November 1

October 23 – 27, 2012: Opposition Earth – Saturn across the Sun October 24, 2012: Line Up Neptune – Moon – Earth.

October 25 – 30, 2012: Long Triple Line Up: Mars – Earth – Jupiter

October 26, 2012: Line Up Venus – Moon – Earth and Uranus – Moon – Earth

October 29, 2012: Line Up Sun – Moon – Earth and Saturn – Moon – Earth

October 31, 2012: Line Up Mercury – Moon – Earth

October 31 – November 3, 2012: Long Triple Line Up: Uranus – Earth – Venus

November 1, 2012: Line Up Jupiter – Moon – Earth and Mars – Moon – Earth

Why our concern continues to focus on La Palma has to do specifically with recent studies suggesting that geological evidence for a future collapse of the Cumbre Vieja is absolute.  A recent University of California study is, to say the least, sobering.

The issue is that the Cumbre Vieja Volcano on the Island of La Palma may experience a catastrophic failure of its west flank, dropping 150 to 500 km3 of rock into the sea. This would send not one, but a series of tsunamis west bound striking the areas of the US, as we outlined above.  These tsunami pulses could range from 30-40 M to 5-10M in rapid succession within nine hours of the flank collapse. See below.

Therefore, we continue to advise our friends to keep watch and to make sure they have their “bug-out” bags at the ready.  We wish to make clear we are NOT sounding any alarms, but only these elements seem to be combining in such a fashion it bears to be watched closely.

Yellow Alert Status – Tsunami Watch Virgin Island Area/Eastern Caribbean Region

This is a yellow alert bulletin from our watch team.  If you have friends travelling to the region or friends who live there, it is time to at least give them a heads up.  The magnitude and frequency of the earthquake swarms has increased in the last 24 hours prompting this alert.  The region also has a recent history of creating tsunamis and the area of quake activity is on a plate fault line that has had significant movements with previous great quakes.  This is complicated by deep water graduating to very shallow water quickly which can amplify tsunami wave heights very quickly and without much time to react.

Virgin Islands region has had:

  • 14 earthquakes today
  • 118 earthquakes in the past 7 days
  • 141 earthquakes in the past month

 

The 1867 Virgin Island Tsunami

On the afternoon of November 18, 1867, a magnitude 7.5 earthquake occurred in the Anegada trough, located between the US Virgin Islands of St. Croix, and St. Thomas. The earthquake actually consisted of two shocks, separated by ten minutes. These shocks generated two tsunami waves that were recorded at several Island locations across the eastern Caribbean region, most notably on the Islands of St. Thomas and St. Croix.

The first tsunami wave struck the town of Charlotte Amalie, on the island of St. Thomas, approximately 10 minutes after the first shock, and the second wave approximately 10 minutes after the second shock. Both waves struck the harbor at Charlotte Amalie first as a large recession of water, followed by a bore, which eyewitness accounts describe as a 4.5 to 6.1 meter wall of water. At the southern point of Water Island, located approximately four kilometers from Charlotte Amalie, the bore was reportedly 12.1 meters high! The waves destroyed many small boats anchored in the harbor, leveled the town’s iron wharf, and either flooded out or destroyed all buildings located along the waterfront area. The waves also damaged a United States Navy ship De Soto, that happened to be anchored in the harbor at the time of the event. The tsunami produced an estimated 2.4 meters of runup at Charlotte Amalie, and a maximum 75 meter inland inundation.

Fredriksted St. Croix was struck by two large tsunami waves, each approximately 7.6 meters high, according to eyewitness accounts. These waves caused severe damage along the waterfront, washing several wooden houses and other structures a considerable distance inland. The waves destroyed many of the smaller boats anchored in the harbor, and beached a large United States Navy ship, the Monongahela (see photo below). A total of five people died as a result of the tsunami. Eyewitness accounts from Frederiksted indicate that the water withdrew from the harbor almost immediately after the earthquake, which suggests that the first wave to strike here might have been a local tsunami produced by a submarine landslide. Reports from Christiansted, St. Croix, indicate that the tsunami inundated an area up to 91 meters inland. The greatest damage here occurred at Gallows Bay, where the waves destroyed 20 houses and beached many boats.

The 1967 Virgin Island Tsunami

The 1967 Virgin Island tsunami was recorded at several other islands in the eastern Caribbean region. The tsunami produced 1.2 to 1.5 meters of runup, and washed away most of the smaller buildings on the island of Tortola in the British Virgin Islands. At St. John’s on the Island of Antigua, the tsunami produced a 2.4 to 2 meter runup. At St. Rose on the island of Guadeloupe, the tsunami reportedly struck as a 18.3 meter wave, flooding houses and damaging boats. This extreme value however, is most likely an exaggeration, as it exceed the maximum wave heights reported at the locations closest to the earthquake’s epicenter, and the tsunami waves reported at nearby Basse-Terre where only 2 meters high. At Bequia Island the tsunami washed in as a 1.8 meter wave. At St. George, on the island of Grenada, 1.5 meter tsunami waves damaged boats and buildings. The tsunami was also observed at several locations on the eastern shore of Puerto Rico. At all location the tsunami was marked by an initial recession of water from the shore.

Coastal Area Yellow Alert- Now May Be The Time To Review Evacuation Plans

As our regular readers know, we are constantly monitoring solar, astrophysical, and geological events as the earth does seem to be going through many dramatic changes.  This summer’s heat and drought, seismic events, Greenland’s ice melt, wandering poles, and increased volcanic activity are just a few of the FACTS to demonstrate these changes.

What we do NOT do is subscribe to all of the crap and disinformation floating the internet these days. We do try our best to stick to facts and empirical data to draw our conclusions.  As that is the background to this alert, please understand that we don’t predict events, but rather look at patterns to see if trends are moving in a certain direction.  You have seen that in our previous warnings and alerts.  This alert is no different.  We are NOT saying there is an impending event, but rather there are indications and events occurring NOW that do bear watching closely.

What we are saying now is that it may be a good idea, if you live near a coast plain to review your emergency evacuation plans and go over them with your families and friends to make sure you are prepared to move away from the coast at a moment’s notice.  If and when a warning would come, the faster you can mobilize, the less likely you are going to be trapped on evacuation routes.  One only has to remember Houston or New Oleans during Katrina to understand what we are saying.

Now here is what we are seeing and why we are publishing this alert at this time.

1). Over the past two months, and more specifically over the last two weeks we have seen a marked uptick in volcanic activity, especially in the southern hemisphere.  Volcanos that have been dormant for 100 years or more have started to show activity, especially in New Zealand. There are currently 17 volcanos erupting globally, and that is about 2x average.

2). We have seen a dramatic increase in 6.0+ earthquakes in the last week, and other significant earthquakes in areas that normally are not seismically active.  Further earlier today we had a 7.7 earthquake off the North Japanese Island.  What was worrisome about this quake was not its potential to produce a tsunami, but its depth at over 500+ Kilometers in depth.  This signifies a deep whole plate movement and could indicate plate adjustments in both adjoining plates and opposite plates could occur as a response to this movement.

3). In the US, there have been many reports of unusually military movements in the US.  There have also been naval movements including moving a ship out of drydock and towed to sea at Norfolk.  This just doesn’t happen.

4). Remote viewers from FarSight.Org have been seeing a major coastal event that was seen occurring between August and January of 2013 in MANY coastal cities globally for months now. We know a number of our readers aren’t sure they buy into RV as a science, but these guys are the best in the world and have been amazingly accurate in the past.

After much thought and given these facts, we felt it prudent to issue this alert.  Again, let us emphasize, we are not making any predictions here of an impeding event, as we simply do not have such an ability.  What we are saying to you this may be a good time to review plans and make sure you all know what to do and all of your loved ones do too.  If nothing else, it is always a good idea to exercise such plans.

El Heirro Situation Update and Yellow Alert for the East Coast.

In our continuing effort to monitor geo-physical conditions that could affect us we must once again elevate the alert for a potential East Coast tsunami related to a potential of a major eruption of El Heirro. This is not to say an eruption is eminent, however both the presence of multiple HARMONIC quakes and rapid island bulging indicates that El Heirro is not as stable as previously thought.

It has been a few months now since the eruption at El Hierro in the Canary Islands was declared “over”. There may be some passive degassing on the seafloor from the new vent that formed at depth to the south of the island, but things had settled down. Even the people of Restinga were putting the eruption in the past, with both webcams taken offline and the guarantee of €600,000 (~$750,000) from the government to aid fishermen whose livelihoods had been altered by the closed fisheries. However, with any active volcano, it can be difficult to predict when exactly an eruptive cycle is truly done.

However starting late last week, seismicity under the island has resumed and its manifestation is very similar to what we saw last summer during the lead up to the eruption of El Hierro in October 2011. Over 50 earthquakes have been recorded at El Hierro, some as large as ~M3.5 and AVCAN thinks that the new seismicity suggests that magma is moving in the same conduits as the fall 2011 activity. The earthquakes are, as of June 23, were still deep – upwards of 15-25 km below the surface. This likely supports the idea that there is new magma entering the El Hierro system at depth. Now, last summer it took months of constant seismicity before we saw any surface manifestation (the submarine vent at ~88 meters depth), so we may not know if this new intrusion of magma will lead to new eruptions until the fall.

Then by last Monday, June 25th, the unusually strong earthquake swarm under El Hierro Island continued, harmonic volcanic tremor had reappeared short time ago at about 16h10 UTC. The tremor, a low-frequency ground vibration, is thought to be caused by moving magma. It had been strong last Sunday and Monday and correlated well with a southward propagation of earthquake locations, suggesting that magma at about 20 km depth flew from underneath the El Golfo area towards the EL Julan (south) coast, in a similar way as before the Oct 2011 eruption, but became blocked there, and did not reach the southern rift zone near La Restinga. After the cease of tremor in the afternoon, earthquakes still continued at high rate, marking a record figure with over 180 quakes larger than M2 Sunday alone, and more than 150 quakes larger than M1.5 on Monday. In other words, pressure continued to cause wide-spread rock fracturing underground and cause small intrusions of fluids. Now, the re-appearance of tremor could mean that magma is moving again somewhere underneath the island. Where to and whether or not it might reach the surface and initiate a new eruption is difficult to know at the moment. It is essential to continue to monitor location and magnitude of earthquakes.

AS of Friday, following days of almost continual earthquakes, residents of the small Canary island of El Hierro are once again living in fear of a volcanic eruption as their island begins to lift. According to the National Geographic Institute of Spain, increases in seismic activity on the island has seen literally hundreds of earthquakes, known as a swarm, shaking the island and gradually increasing in strength since June 25. Around 750 earthquakes have been recorded although few have been strong enough to be felt by the residents until the last two days The island has been placed on yellow alert by the security committee in charge of operations as the earthquakes increase. The largest so far was registered at 4.0 on the Richter scale on Wednesday June 27. More frightening for the approximately 10,000 residents is the fact that a bulge has developed in the island, lifting it five centimetres in four days. Whereas the volcanic activity of 2011 was based out at sea, this time the magma appears to be forming right underneath the island and the pressure is building. Scientists on the island are using the position of the earthquake epicentres to try and work out where the magma from the volcano will come to the surface.The longer it takes to find a vent, the more the pressure from the magma will grow and the larger any possible eruption is likely to be.

Earthquake Report says that PEVOLCA (Civil Protection from Volcanic Risk) has said that there is an acceleration in the flow of magma, with a “clear process of inflation”. As reported by Digital Journal on June 25, the island suffered serious seismic activity last year, resulting in an undersea volcanic cone as can be seen in the video. However, over time, the activity died down and it was thought by experts that was the end of the event. The research vessel ‘Hesperides’ which had been investigating went home and the live cameras were turned off. Now the ‘Hesperides’ is hurrying back to the island but the cameras have not as yet been turned back on. The website Decoded Science, in an article by Jennifer Young, explains how magma chambers work and how scientists are processing information from volcanoes to learn more about predicting possible eruptions. It is this activity that the scientists on the ‘Hesperides’, in conjunction with those on the island itself, will be studying in an effort to try and predict if and when the volcano under El Hierro will erupt. Official reports have been few and far between and the Spanish media has concentrated rather more on the football and the economy than the volcano growing under one of Spain’s most popular holiday destinations, just as the season gets into full swing.

Warning – Situation Update #3

There is some good news and then not so good news.  First, the good news.  Sunspot #1302 has quieted down again.  There has been some minor geomagnetic storming and one 1.7 X flare, but otherwise the surface remains quiet.  The concern remains high, though, because #1302 is still a very big sunspot and it is now directly facing earth.

The not so good news is that the quake swarming on the Canary Island of El Hierro continues and evacuations have begun.  This is not good folks.

Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain – More than 300 people have been evacuated from their homes on the Spanish Canary Island of El Hierro because of recurrent earthquakes, local officials said Wednesday.

El Hierro on the youngest island in the Canaries, which are offshore from Spain, and now scientists are concerned that the long dormant volcano will soon erupt.

El Hierro has been rocked by 8 thousand earthquakes since July 19, caused by magma pressing towards the Earth’s surface, also raising concerns about a volcanic eruption on the island that has one large volcano and about 250 craters.

Some 50,000 to 130,000 years ago a volcano in the Canaries collapsed into the Atlantic Ocean and created a tsunami 300 feet high that raced across the sea in all directions including the east coast of North America.  Can you imagine a wall of water 30 stories high slamming into New York, or Washington D.C. or Florida.  The loss of life would be monumental.

The island’s most important road tunnel was also closed, and hundreds of school children stayed home.  The vast majority of the quakes have been too weak to be noticed by residents, but they have been increasing in frequency and intensity.  More than 100 tremors were registered on Tuesday, with the strongest of magnitude 3.8. Dozens more quakes followed Wednesday.

El Hierro has not erupted since 1793. If an eruption does occur, it would not be necessary to evacuate all of the island’s 10,000 residents, the daily El Pais quoted Canaries security chief Juan Manuel Santana as saying.

Security officials were working on several possible evacuation scenarios, one of which foresees the evacuation of 4,000 people within four hours.  Meetings were being held all over the island to inform residents about how to proceed in case of an eruption.

We will continue to closely monitor this developing situation.

It’s Time for Some Honest Disclosure

For those who are both internet savvy and like conspiracy theories, it has been postulated for a long time that the PTB and world leaders have known about coming events and the concern over 2012 is very real.  The Mayan Calendar, the Hopi Prophecies, the Bible, especially the Book of Revelations, and several other ancient texts seem to point to this conclusion.

In addition, there are the predictions of Nostradamus, Edgar Cayce, and Mother Shipton and several others that also point to this time as a time of great change or in fact, the end.  So what is real and what is just wild speculation and sensationalism?  What are the facts?

Well, I am going to try and present what I think may be closest to the truth.  We live in a dynamic and sometimes violent universe.  To first understand the dynamics, we need to understand a few numbers.  First, the earth is rotating at about 1790 miles per hour (MPH), then the earth is orbiting the sun at about 65,000 MPH, and finally the sun is orbiting the Galaxy at about 475,000 MPH.  In short, we are really zipping through space at about .0073 the speed of light!

Secondly, we need to understand the electromagnetic forces at play.  We understand these forces on earth as gravity, but in reality that is the smallest of EM forces we experience.  A much larger force is exerted on the planet from electromagnetic forces resulting from coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from our sun, and finally EM forces being exerted on us from the center of the galaxy and any other incoming forces from nearby novas and other violent cosmic events.

Finally, we are being bombarded by all kinds of energetic forces such as x-rays and comic energies of all sorts, some so small and moving so fast that they can pass entirely through our planet and never collide with any particles as a result.  This is an important element of the equation to understand, because it is this energy that may be the most significant element to understand.

We all seem to know the famous equation of Einstein, E=MC2.  Generally, we also understand that formula to mean that energy is created when matter is accelerated to the speed of light squared.  Beyond that, most of us do not understand the real meaning of this significant discovery.  Think of it in this manner, if energy is created by accelerating mass to very high speed, then matter can be created as a result of energy being slowed dramatically.  This is the element of the equation that even most physicists do not factor.  The reality here is that if the energy is being “captured” by the earth, where is it going?  The fact is the earth is growing all the time.  The core of the planet is converting the energy captured to matter and the planet is getting bigger all the time! We are an expanding planet. A very good explanation can be found here, Expando Planet.

As we have seen in the recent Japanese earthquake, the planet is NOT terra firma, but is instead floating plates that can move and sometimes can do so violently.  The earthquake in Japan moved the entire island of Japan 13 feet to the east!  The entire island!

Ok, now this is what I think we need to understand.  First the earth is careening through the universe at amazing speeds, and is at the same time absorbing tremendous amounts of energy, enough energy that the earth is accumulating mass over time.  As the earth accumulates mass, it expands.  Most of the time, this process is very slow and we experience earthquakes and volcanoes, but certainly not at the pace that we would even notice, except to read about them.

However, sometimes, events converge which can create a situation (about every 330,000 years) where this process is greatly accelerated, even considered sudden.  That is where we are right now.  We are moving through a highly energetic “cloud” in space at the same time we are experiencing one of the largest solar maximums that we are aware of at the same time we are moving through the galactic plane where we experience the strongest gravitational pull from the center of the galaxy.

To put things in perspective, we normally experience 6.0 or greater earthquakes between 50-100 per year.  We have experienced 50 in the last week!  Volcanic activity is accelerating dramatically and solar activity has really ratcheted up in the last 60 days.  In short, our beautiful little blue planet is getting slammed from all sides.  If I were a pilot right now, I would tell you to return to your seats and buckle up as we are headed into some strong turbulence.  To put another way, we are racing at the Daytona 500 and the “big wreck” just happened in front of us and now we are hoping to get through the wreckage without wrecking ourselves.  Unfortunately our “spotters” (our governments and those in the know) have chosen not to talk us through it.

Consider what you are seeing in Japan and ask yourself one question.  Are you ready to survive for two to three months without anything more than you have in your home right at this moment?  If not, get prepared.  Water, food, temporary shelter, and protective clothing from the elements are the essentials.  Talk with your family on where and how you communicate and gather.  These are simple things to achieve.  Do it now, there is more coming and soon.

Also you should pay attention to solar activity and here is a good place to do that, Solar Cycle 24. You should also monitor earthquake activity and here is a good place to do that Recent World Earthquakes.  Finally, you can watch real time the forces the sun is exerting on the earth here, Real Time Magnetosphere Simulation.

Watch 25 March as a special date, especially if you live on the West Coast of the US or in the Mississippi Valley.

PLEASE.