Comet Ison Update Nov.26

Comet ISON is now zipping along at over 400,000 KPH and is now about 12.7 Million miles from the sun. It’s counterpart, comet ENKE, which we haven’t spoke much of is closer to the sun and is supposedly larger than ISON, but I have to question those estimates, as ISON looks larger than ENKE.

ison_enke1128

However, the energetic exchanges we suspected would occur between the comet and the sun are strongly evident and we expect the show to get even more spectacular as these comets both converge on their respective perihelion points with Ole Sol within the next few days.

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August 19th Solar Watch Advisory

As we monitor natural activities that could affect us all globally, solar activity is at the top of the list. Recent solar activity and a news release by NASA last week are prompting us now to issue a watch advisory.

The Sun is about to flip! This news comes by way of a NASA press release about the impending solar polar shift, wherein the Sun will flip its magnetic poles in the culmination of its roughly 11-year solar cycle. The event of the polar flip will serve as the much-hyped solar maximum.

Speaking on the upcoming magnetic flip, Todd Hoeksema, the director of Stanford University’s Wilcox Solar Observatory, said that “it looks like we’re no more than three to four months away from a complete field reversal . . . this change will have ripple effects throughout the solar system.”

Based on our observations, this may be happening sooner rather than later in that time estimate. The “internal pole” has already deviated by 30 degrees, and surface changes are becoming more frequent and intense. Today there was a massive CME on the far side of the sun from old sunspot 1809. If this eruption would have occurred when earth facing, we would be subject to a massive geo-magnetic storm that would certain caused major problems with the global power grid and would have definitely fried a lot of satellites. Here are some photos from this August 19th eruption to give you an idea of the scale of the events we could face.

aug20_2013_cme

lasco20aug13

Right now, the Sun is headed for solar maximum, the peak in activity in its 11-year cycle. Because blasts of energy from the Sun are sure to become more powerful and frequent in the future, the chances for Earthly impacts of solar storms increases dramatically. When the highly-charged particles of the solar wind hit our upper atmosphere, they interact with Earth’s magnetic field, causing disruptions in electronic communications and power grids. One job for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is to keep an eye on solar weather which, NOAA chief Jane Lubchenco warns, could have dire effects for us on Earth.

When the Sun was at its last peak period in the early 2000s, we were nowhere near as reliant on satellites as we are today. Think back to 2001, far fewer people had a cell phone in their pocket, a GPS unit in their car, and satellite TV in their house. Now, while losing anyone of these conveniences (imagine having to actually read a map!) would be a minor irritation, the fact that solar storms can damage power grids can have massive implications. In March 1989 (during the Sun’s maximum 2 cycles ago) a massive solar storm knocked out power over a large section of Canada. The frightening fact, in the larger scheme of things, that storm wasn’t that big, certainly not the perfect solar super storm. Worst case scenario: if transformers and capacitors were really fried, power could be out for months, essentially transporting us back to the pre-industrial age.

There are those who are suggesting that this solar flip may occur much more rapidly and therefore much more violently than previous events. Given this recent activity and the increasing behavior of activity we think it is prudent to issue to watch advisory. It could happen tomorrow and we would have about 48 hours to react. Simply do the following checklist and make sure you are as ready for such event as you can be.

Consider your needs for the number of residents in your home

Do you have a source emergency power and heat? For how long?

Do you have food, medicine, water, an ability to deal with sanitation?  For how long?

Will you need alternative shelter for the residents?

What are your anticipated transportation and child care needs?

Do you have the ability to communicate with family and emergency services without power?

Now would be a good time to review these things. Pay attention to this activity daily. You can follow here:  Solarham

Solar Flares and Earthquake Acitivity – Heads Up -Updated 2:28 AM UTC

Since our earlier post, things are heating up.  We have had our 3rd X-Class Flare today! It is strong enough to make the top 10 list all time!  The sunspot responsible is still moving onto the earth facing side so we have to elevate our concern.

may14_2013_x3.2

In addition, since our earlier post, we have also had a 7.0 earthquake in Tonga.  The significance of this quake is it was 608 km in depth.  This is one of the deepest large quakes we have seen in our experience.  it simply means it occurred closer to the base of the plate, as opposed to the surface.  The dynamics of this quake are not apparent at this time, but it could be significant, especially to the areas of our concern, the west coast side of the pacific plate.  We haven’t elevated status yet, but really, please, pay close attention to these events over the next 24 hours.

Solar Flares and Earthquake Acitivity – Heads Up

As our regular readers know, we are constantly monitoring natural events that may pose hazards for us all.  We don’t make predictions, only report on events that raise the possibilities of future natural disasters or impacts.  We are raising our alert levels to yellow for the following 7-14 days.

The reasons are elevating solar activities that have resulted in several M-Class Flares and two X-class flares within the last 48 hours.  While the resulting CMEs so far have not been earth directed, the areas of the extreme activity are rotating into earth view and are showing no sign of weakening. There is a better than 50% chance of earth directed M-Class flares for the next 72 hours. In our estimation there is at least a 25% chance of an X-Class flare for the 72 hours. These of course could be accompanied by large to severe CMEs.

may13_2013_east

may13_2013_x2.8

may13_2013_cme

This combines with an increase of 4.7+ earthquake activity that we have been monitoring for the past few weeks.  Our concern is not so much where the earthquakes have been occurring as much as where they are NOT occurring.  A brief explanation  here: Plates are dynamic, so when one side is moving, the opposite and opposing side has to “adjust’ to that movement.  On occasion, the plates can “lock” and thereby resist this adjustment.  The bad news here is that the locked side of the plate usually builds a large amount of stress which can then be released with a sudden and violent “snap” if you will.  Such a situation now exists along the West Coast of the US, Canada, and Mexico.

plate locked 5_12_31

Combining these events, along with some anecdotal information such as the predictions of a global coastal event from places like FarSight.org and Half Past Human for an event around the 19-23 May is enough for us to issues this warning alert.  Make sure you pay attention, have your “Bug Out” bags ready to go, especially if yu are within 50 miles of a coast line and less than 500′ in elevation.

Heads Up!

Every Once in Awhile You Get Your Mind Blown

I am not necessarily a UFO nut. While you can’t argue the fact that over 30,000,000 people worldwide have witnessed and reported UFO’s, including credible witnesses like Air Force Pilots and Astronauts. You can’t deny the logic that with over 100 billion stars in our galaxy and over 100 billion galaxies there is certainly a large number possibility that life in all forms exists elsewhere.  Has contact been made? I don’t know that for sure, even with all of the “evidence” on the net to the contrary.

Given the authenticity of this photo and where it was submitted, I must say my jaw dropped when I saw it. This photo was taken on October 31st of this year in Norway by Hugo Lahre.  As far as I know this photo was submitted to only SpaceWeather. Com as part of the Aurora Photo Gallery. Can anyone explain the object in the aurora.  I certainly can’t. I have never seen anything like this and have no clue where to begin.  Submitted for your review and comment.  Enjoy and Wonder with me!

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Warning/Watch M Class Solar Flares Possible Nov. 21-Nov.25

Sunspot 1611 is growing in complexity and an M1 Flare has lifted from the eastern limb.  A CME from the solar prominence has also lifted off, but does not look earth directed. However, given the increase in activity there is a 70% chance on an M Class flare with an associated CME over the next four days.  This could be significant enough to effect satellites, radio communications, especially in the northern latitudes and there is also a possibility of disruption of various computer networks.

An X Class flare and large CME erupted on the backside of the sun two days ago that if earth directed would have caused severe disruption to the power grid. Therefore keep close watch as it seems Ole Sol is winding up a bit.

III.  Event probabilities 21 Nov-23 Nov
Class M    70/70/70
Class X    15/15/15
Proton     15/15/15
PCAF       green


Heads Up – Status Update #1 – Pay Attention If You Live on the Coastlines

It appears our concerns have become somewhat validated over the last 24 hours.  There was a 6.5 quake in Alaska and 2 M Class solar flares within the last 18 hours.  Both of the flares are earth directed and the sunspot anomalies are growing more complex rapidly.

Updated 11/13/2012 @ 00:50 UTC
Two M-Class Solar Flares
Solar activity picked up in a hurry with the emergence of Sunspot 1613 located in the southern hemisphere. A solar flare reaching M2.0 was detected at 23:28 UTC late Monday, followed by an impulsive M6.0 event at 02:04 UTC early Tuesday morning.

6.5 Earthquake Alaska Event Time

2012-11-12 10:42:15 UTC-10:00 at epicenter

Location – 57.544°N 142.889°W depth=55.2km (34.3mi)

Nearby Cities

248km (154mi) S of Cape Yakataga, Alaska

502km (312mi) W of Juneau, Alaska

544km (338mi) SE of Anchorage, Alaska

549km (341mi) WSW of Whitehorse, Canada

554km (344mi) SE of Knik-Fairview, Alaska

* This quake was a horizontal slip and not a vertical slip so no tsunami was generated.

We also believe this does not diminish our concerns as the other events are STILL building. In fact it increases our concerns and certainly everyone in coastal areas should stay very alert at least for the next 2-7 days. Please pay attention if you are in any coastal areas.  Again, no need to panic or bug out, but be ready to move quickly. Depending on where you live, East Coast or West Coast you will have between 4 to 12 hours to get to high ground if a megaquake with associated tsunami is generated.  That’s not a long time.