Do You Really Understand What the FED Has Committed on Your Behalf?

When you look at the breakdown of the bailouts and QE programs as below, it becomes quite apparent how really insane this monetary policy really is.  What’s more frightening is that the EU’s policies are WORSE! The FED is printing money willy-nilly and the ECB is slowly sucking the economic viability out of the EU economy with nihilistic austerity programs, and even in the light of real evidence of the damage, they continue to enact these insane policies.

monetary policyrecap

To put in perspective the size of just the US money printing operation, consider that the “net” figure of $863 billion represents the total face value of Federal Reserve Notes in circulation, or, it represents nearly 50% of the GDP. To put it another way, you via congressional monetary policy delegated to the FED’s monetary policy has taken actions that put every man, woman, and child in this country in debt to the tune of $237,500! Translated to a family of four that’s a cool 950 LARGE!

While the FED speeds down the road to a hyperinflationary crash, and the EU is looking at a third round of recession and might even be looking at the “D” word, deflation, China is creating gold backed ETFs and is entering market places globally, the rise of the Red Dragon. The monetary policies of Russia, China, and most of the so called BRIC nations seem to be adapting more correctly to world markets and demands.

I don’t remember us being asked to comment or god-forbid assent to such policies. But hey, according to Jamie Dimon in Davos Switzerland  explaining why people don’t need to know what’s going on in the banking world. It’s too “complex.” Just know that their fee comes from managing this ball of financial confusion. And that’s all you need to know. Really? How about what I understand, that this is a house of cards game being played in an unregulated casino and that it will collapse without any question and therefore by definition is insane.  I know that’s complex but I’m just an ordinary guy.

U.S. President Barack Obama on Thursday nominated Mary Jo White, a former U.S. attorney who built a reputation prosecuting white-collar criminals, terrorists and mobsters, to lead the Securities and Exchange Commission.  The agency has a lead role in implementing changes on Wall Street.

White spent nearly a decade as the U.S. attorney in Manhattan, handling an array of white-collar crimes and complex securities and financial fraud cases. She brought down mobster John Gotti and won convictions in the 1993 World Trade Center bombing and the 1998 bombings of two U.S. embassies in Africa.

Obama said that experience makes White well-suited to implement legislation he championed to change the behavior on Wall Street. “I’d say that’s a pretty good run. You don’t want to mess with Mary Jo,” Obama said at the White House. “As one former SEC chairman said, Mary Jo does not intimidate easily, and that’s important because she has a big job ahead of her.

That’s the positive “spin”. The negative side of this is that White also represented JPMC, and others as defense attorney in SEC inquiries. So in a sense, White knows where the bones are buried.  The Wall Street Pit bulls aren’t barking so it is hard to read what is next.  Certainly, in spite of the magnitude of evidence of felonies being committed by the Wall Street Boys, no one has gone to jail. Is that about to change? Only time will tell.  Oh yeah and one other thing, you writing the new head of the SEC and after you have congratulated her on her significant appoint, urge her to begin immediately to vigorously prosecute those where the evidence is certain.

You know we do not need to understand what an ETF is or what a credit default swap is, because in the end it is just this simple.  These ego-maniacs have bet the farm and put up the family as collateral. It really is that real. So do you have anything to say about that?

//

Be Prepared For a Crash Landing!

As some of you are aware there is something large looming in the predictive linguistics concerning the first few weeks in November.  For those of you who don’t understand what I am talking about, let me give you a brief explanation.  Predictive linguistics can predict near future events with some accuracy based on analyzing different language sets appearing on the internet and the variation in frequency of these appearing “in the cloud”.

The effects of the predicted events in November have impacts never seen before in the project.  To put it in prospective to September 11th, it is about 5-6 times larger in predicted global impact.  Well that is enough to sit up and take notice.

The mid-term elections in the US will conclude, more or less, today.  This is significant because of what the Fed has been planning to initiate later this week.  The Federal Reserve is likely to start a fresh round of unorthodox stimulus tomorrow by announcing a plan to purchase at least $500 billion of long-term securities, according to economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.

Policy makers meeting today and tomorrow will restart a program of securities purchases to spur growth, reduce unemployment and increase inflation, said 53 of 56 economists surveyed last week. Twenty-nine estimated the Fed will pledge to buy $500 billion or more, while another seven predicted $50 billion to $100 billion in monthly purchases without a specified total. The remainder said the Fed would buy up to $500 billion or didn’t quantify their forecast.

The varied responses reflect differences among Fed officials over the total amount of purchases needed to bolster the recovery. Policy makers, pursuing unprecedented stimulus, have cut the benchmark rate almost to zero and bought $1.7 trillion in securities without generating growth fast enough to bring down unemployment from near a 26-year high.

The Fed has put intense effort into judging what it should signal and how. The FOMC has at least three broad options. First, it could be neutral, pledging to adjust the size of QE2 depending on the data. Second, it could signal a clear bias towards continuing to buy assets unless the economic data have improved. Third, it could pledge to keep buying assets until it is on track to achieve its inflation objective.

However, opponents of the QE2 have very critical opinions that these actions will take the global economy over the cliff. This outflow from the dollar is not the kind of capital that takes the form of tangible investment in plant and equipment, buildings, research and development. It is not a creation of assets as much as the creation of debt, and its multiplication by mirroring, credit insurance, default swaps and an array of computerized forward trades. The global financial system has decoupled from trade and investment, taking on a life of its own.

In fact, financial conquest is seeking today what military conquest did in times past: control of land and basic infrastructure, industry and mining, banking systems and even government finances to extract the economic surplus as interest and tollbooth-type economic rent charges. U.S. officials euphemize this policy as “quantitative easing.” The Federal Reserve is flooding the banking system with so much liquidity that Treasury bills now yield less than 1%, and banks can draw freely on Fed credit. Japanese banks have seen yen borrowing rates fall to 0.25%.

This policy is based on the wrong-headed idea that if the Fed provides liquidity, banks will take the opportunity to lend out credit at a markup, “earning their way out of debt” – inflating the economy in the process. And when the Fed talks about “the economy,” it means asset markets – above all for real estate, as some 80% of bank loans in the United States are mortgage loans.

The currency impacts can be significant and immediate.  By forcing up targeted currencies against the dollar, this U.S. outflow into foreign exchange speculation and asset buy-outs is financial aggression. And to add insult to injury, Mr. Geithner is accusing China of “competitive non-appreciation.” This is a euphemistic term of invective for economies seeking to maintain currency stability. It makes about as much sense as to say “aggressive self-defense.” China’s interest, of course, is to avoid taking a loss on its dollar holdings and export contracts denominated in dollars (as valued in its own domestic renminbi).

Countries on the receiving end of this U.S. financial conquest (“restoring stability” is how U.S. officials characterize it) understandably are seeking to protect themselves. Ultimately, the only serious way to do this is to erect a wall of capital controls to block foreign speculators from deranging currency and financial markets. Changing the international financial system is by no means easy. How much of alternative do countries have, Martin Wolf recently asked. “To put it crudely,” he wrote:

“The US wants to inflate the rest of the world, while the latter is trying to deflate the US. The US must win, since it has infinite ammunition: there is no limit to the dollars the Federal Reserve can create. What needs to be discussed is the terms of the world’s surrender: the needed changes in nominal exchange rates and domestic policies around the world.”

An eerie calm has descended upon world financial markets as they await perhaps the two most important financial events of the year this week.  On Tuesday, investors will be eagerly awaiting the results of one of the most anticipated midterm elections in U.S. history.  On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve is expected to end months of speculation by formally announcing the details of a new round of quantitative easing.  If either the election or the meeting of the Federal Reserve open market committee delivers a highly unexpected result, it could have a dramatic impact on world financial markets.  In fact, many are looking at this week as a potential turning point for the U.S. economy.  The decisions that are made or not made this week could set us down a road from which the U.S. economy may never recover.

This is probably the most significant move of the current economic crisis and the results of the FED’s action will literally affect every family in the world and that is not an exaggeration.  To put this in real simple terms, the US has declared war on the world’s currency.  Now the question is how will the world react to this move.  What effect could the FED’s actions have on the fragile EU economy?  How will China, especially, respond.  China being the biggest holder of US securities, the FED printing $500 Billion in “new money” grossly devalues China’s investment.  Does China take that sitting down?  I don’t think so.

So, let’s go over the procedures for a crash landing.  In the event of…….