Earthquakes, Volcanoes, and CMEs – Status Orange-

Folks we are in a whole new territory! In the last 36 hours, we have had multiple large earthquakes, several 6.0, two 7.0, and a monster of 8.3 (thirteenth largest ever recorded!). Several Volcanoes have rumbled to life.  In addition, I am sure you all know by now of the major bridge collapse in Washington State over the Skagit River.

These events have rapidly filled the predictive language we have been seeing for the last few months.  This is fast becoming a critical period we hoped would not come to pass.  The next 72 hours may be even more significant.  If our models are correct, and so far they are scaring us a bit, we anticipate one more major quake that could generate a tsunami and it is possible for a large CME event that could cause severe power outages, including the internet going down.

Be sure you have checked those bug-out bags, you have a few weeks of water and food.  Get in touch with family and know what you would do to gather together. Let’s hope things will calm down, but also be prepared!

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Solar Flares and Earthquake Acitivity – Heads Up

As our regular readers know, we are constantly monitoring natural events that may pose hazards for us all.  We don’t make predictions, only report on events that raise the possibilities of future natural disasters or impacts.  We are raising our alert levels to yellow for the following 7-14 days.

The reasons are elevating solar activities that have resulted in several M-Class Flares and two X-class flares within the last 48 hours.  While the resulting CMEs so far have not been earth directed, the areas of the extreme activity are rotating into earth view and are showing no sign of weakening. There is a better than 50% chance of earth directed M-Class flares for the next 72 hours. In our estimation there is at least a 25% chance of an X-Class flare for the 72 hours. These of course could be accompanied by large to severe CMEs.

may13_2013_east

may13_2013_x2.8

may13_2013_cme

This combines with an increase of 4.7+ earthquake activity that we have been monitoring for the past few weeks.  Our concern is not so much where the earthquakes have been occurring as much as where they are NOT occurring.  A brief explanation  here: Plates are dynamic, so when one side is moving, the opposite and opposing side has to “adjust’ to that movement.  On occasion, the plates can “lock” and thereby resist this adjustment.  The bad news here is that the locked side of the plate usually builds a large amount of stress which can then be released with a sudden and violent “snap” if you will.  Such a situation now exists along the West Coast of the US, Canada, and Mexico.

plate locked 5_12_31

Combining these events, along with some anecdotal information such as the predictions of a global coastal event from places like FarSight.org and Half Past Human for an event around the 19-23 May is enough for us to issues this warning alert.  Make sure you pay attention, have your “Bug Out” bags ready to go, especially if yu are within 50 miles of a coast line and less than 500′ in elevation.

Heads Up!

El Heirro Update – Crisis Seems to be Abating

This is just a quick update.  The activities in La Palma seem to be subsiding.  Only 9 quakes today and the FARO data seems to indicate that lava flow and deformation haven’t occurred in any significant manner in the last 48 hours.  Based on this information, it would seem the potential eruption and associated tsunami seems to be abating.  We will continue to monitor closely, but for now we can relax a bit.

El Heirro Update – Activity is Increasing! Stay Alert!

Activity over the last 48 hours has increased significantly both in frequency and intensity of earthquakes.  The FARO data is also suggesting increased deformation.  Please pay close attention East Coasters. Here is a recap diary of the most recent activity.

el Heirro3_29_13

2013-03-29 16:16 UTC
– A very powerful earthquake has been reported from El Hierro so far.
– People at the island told Julio that this felt as being the strongest so far
– Rockfall has been reported in different places.

2013-03-29 13:11 UTC
Pevolca has met and says in essence what we have been telling all day.
– As seismicity is still at a safe distance from the coast (what is safe ?) no other protective measures should be taken (see earlier Pevolca report for the initial measures below).
– Pevolca also confirms that the seismic activity is moving the the South-West. ER would call it South
– The strong earthquakes are continuing at a high frequency at the time of writing

2013-03-29 11:17 UTC

Impressive seismic activity
– The released energy since the start of this crisis has surpassed the total energy released during the initial eruptive crisis in 2011
– So far today (11 hours) we have counted 51 M3+ earthquakes
– 8 M4+ earthquake – 4 of which have been felt by the people (in fact everything has been felt, but people do not report it anymore). The strongest ones have also been felt at the neighboring islands like La Palma
– Remember the words of local seismologists/volcanologists shortly after the start of this crisis “this crisis will not last long as the feeding source does not have enough energy”. This remark is not meant to be offensive to those scientists, only that we have to be humble when we talk about the unknown aspects of nature.

elheirroseismic3_29

 

2013-03-29 11:00 UTC
– Relatively calm period at this moment
– The seabed depth of the current seismic activity is +2000 meter (+6000 ft) = safe + weakening the shaking impact

2013-03-29 09:42 UTC
– The strong M4.6 earthquake had his epicenter at approx. 6 km out of the coast (thats closer than previous strong earthquakes).
– Hypocenters show a tendency to become shallower again (17 km), with a few shallower ones.
– The seismic active area is still below a relatively flat seabed but the distance to the submarine volcanic hills is gradually decreasing.

2013-03-29 09:07 UTC
– Strong events are following each other up at a high rate today.

elheirroseisgraph3_29

2013-03-29 08:58 UTC
– The volcano does not give up so far. He continues to shake the greater epicenter area and some of these quakes can even be felt at other islands.
– 64 earthquakes listed by IGN so far (they only list the stronger ones now – the real number today must run already into the hundreds)
– Strongest earthquake so far today : M4.3 (initially quoted as M4.6)
– The hypocenters are again in the 20 km layer (like the crisis in mid-2012)
– Deformation is further increasing. The images below are from the Lighthouse GPS station (also western part of the island)
– Epicenters are a little more to the south today, which may explain the deeper hypocenters. Still far enough out of the coast to weaken the earthquake impact on the island. Red bullets are very shallow earthquakes. The red bullet in the Las Calmas sea is erroneous BUT we take special interest in the 2 shallow earthquakes below the South-Western coast of the island. They have been calculated at M2.0 and M2.2, strange … As these quakes are far away from the seismic area it looks to us that these are earthquakes which have been triggered by the deformation of the island. IGN (with a lot more data) will certainly know what is exactly was.
– The strong action is still continuing.

We will update as warranted.

 

Pay Attention, USGS is not!, El Heirro Update

As we continue the monitor the situation in La Palma, What really struck us this morning is that USGS is not even showing ANY activity in the Canary Islands. We witnessed this the last time El Heirro was grumbling, NOTHING from USGS.  Here is the latest screenshot from the USGS EQ site, and as you will notice, even though they are supposed to be reporting and showing every quake over 2.5M, there are NO quakes showing in the Canary Islands.

usgs EQ 25 mar 13

UPDATE- El Heirro – March 25, 2013 – 10:00PST

The activity continues and is growing in both magnitude and frequency of harmonic quakes. You can monitor the situation closely at El Heirro Monitoring.  The likelihood of a new submarine eruption in the near future is increasing. Earthquakes and pulsating strong tremor continued with little changes, indicators of magma intruding into new dikes in the western rift zone. There is also a trend towards stronger quakes (about 20 magnitude 3+ events including a M4 this morning) and shallower earthquakes (many at around 11-12 km depth today). This suggests that magma is slowly breaking pathways upwards, i.e. towards the seafloor. The area has remained about 5 km off shore NW from the western tip of the island, ie. under the submarine prolongation of the volcano’s western rift zone. This is where now a new eruption should be expected, if the magma does not decide to migrate laterally once again.

quakes-el-hierro-250313-list.png (2)

So keep close watch if you are on the East Coast.  We have received questions about “how bad would it be if the worst case scenario would unfold. Our best guess, and it is a guess, is that a tsunami of 150’ could impact the east coast, with Florida and Georgia feeling the greatest impacts.  So to answer the question of where do you go and when, getting to elevations above 500’ ASL should minimize the danger. If the western face of El Heirro would suddenly calve as a part of an eruption, East Coasters may have 8 hours to act. The real concern we have is how fast MSM would report such an event, which could lose precious evacuation time, and at what time the event would occur. For example, if the eruption occurred at 12 AM or very early morning, people may simply not be aware the event occurred.

The situation remains Yellow, keep close watch.  You can also monitor real time EQ activity here, since USGS chooses not to even consider the danger.

EMSC-CSEM Earthquake Monitoring

More as we get it.

Eruption of the El Hierro Volcano in the Canary Islands? Heads Up East Coast

As we continue monitoring seismic events globally, we on occasion feel there is enough “unusual” activity to issue watches for potentially impacted areas.  Traditionally one of our greatest concerns is the La Palma volcano in the Canary Islands because of a very large risk that such an eruption would generate a potentially dangerous tsunami that would effect the entire east coast and doe so with less than 8 hours notice.

Such events are now occurring. In fact, there is now a Red Alert and evacuations going on in La Restinga .  Check out the map above of recent seismic activity in the area. There have been 155 earthquakes above magnitude 2 today (Saturday) alone. The seismic swarm continues with even increasing intensity, as to both the average magnitude and frequency of earthquakes, as well as amplitude of harmonic volcanic tremor which is oscillating between higher and lower phases. This might correspond to some sort of “stop and go” behavior of magma moving its way through new cracks in the lower crust beneath the island. The location of the epicenters of quakes, the presumed location of the current magma intrusions, is now about 5 km NW of the western tip of the island, and at depths between 10-17 km. No strong upwards trend is yet visible, but this could change quickly.
Today’s earthquake count so far:
– 155 earthquakes > mag 2
– including 15 between M3-3.5

Eventos_HIERRO_2D_31 (1)

Earthquakes continue with increasing magnitudes

Update Sat 23 Mar 16:41

The scenario of an eruption in the near future is becoming increasingly likely:
– Volcanic tremor continues, suggesting magma is still moving although mostly laterally for the time being to an area just north off the western tip of the island.
– Earthquakes continue at high frequency and increasing magnitudes (more than 90 quakes above magnitude 2, including 8 of magnitudes 3-3.5 so far today). Their epicenters have remained at 14-16 km depth mostly, with some shallower events as well.
– Deformation of the western part of the island continues to increase, with vertical uplift reaching about 5 cm on some stations in the westernmost part of the island. 

Again folks on the East Coast should pay attention over the next few days.  Check those bug out bags and remember the sooner you get to go the more likely you will get to safety.  If any changes occur we will post them as soon as possible.  this would reflect to a condition Yellow.

The Purpose of the Modern Monopolized Press is not to Inform but to Generate and Maintain the Consent of the Governed.

When we look at the events of the last month especially, it should have become more apparent, even to the casual and unawakened people that this is our reality.  Here are just a few examples of major events that have been grossly unreported in MSM.

Fireballs, meteor, and meteorites are raining down like a spring shower, at more than twice the normal rate, and are associated with more and more intense sonic booms (meaning they are low in the atmosphere) and many witnessed fragmentation and explosions occurring.  Yet MSM may report some of the individual events that they couldn’t ignore, but they are going out of their way to not have us link these events as something more specific.  An interesting side note to this is a few alternative news reporters sought information from the Air Force Space Command as to whether or not they “detected” any of the incoming salvo.  Their response was that was “classified information”.  What? After these reports were published yesterday, some attempts have been made to explain that this response was made because the AFSC and more importantly the NRO does not want to reveal the nature of their technology now operating. Interesting, huh?

The true reasons for the Pope’s resignation are not even being mentioned, even though there was specific acknowledgement by the Vatican.  The fact that the Pope would be arrested by Italian authorities for money laundering has not been mentioned.  Check it out for yourself, the arrest warrant is a matter of public record. This also accounts for the fact that the Pope will be cloistered within the walls of the sovereign Vatican nation. If he were to leave, he would be subject to immediate arrest.  There are also the issues of sex crimes against children, and maintaining secret accounts for various politicians and corporate moguls, but that is a whole other story.

There is a major magma pool rising under the Solomon Island, and is being heralded by huge swarms of 5+ earthquakes over the past three weeks.  This is similar in size to the “Jellystone” caldera, being nearly 600 square kilometers in size and sitting on a major Pacific plate conjunction zone. If this were to erupt, the tsunamis generated could have global effects as these would literally travel around the world and affect all oceans.  The steam volume sent into the atmosphere by such an eruption could literally create giant rivers of atmospheric water that would create massive rainfalls inland on all continents.  Not a word said in MSM.

Currency wars are beginning to erupt as central banks and nations try to stave off the coming financial collapse.  The concern of course is that historically when currency wars do erupt (and they have officially begun), global war is not far behind.  Yet MSM is talking about “the fiscal cliff” approaching in the US. Speaking of CONgress, we did have one humorous insight this week. Did you know that the correct term for a large group of baboons is a congress of baboons. Hmmm, that explains a lot.

Then, of course, we have this developing debate concerning gun control. The monopoly media is reporting these stories from within the confines of the false Left/Right paradigm and is ignoring the written purpose of the 2nd Amendment by attempting to frame the debate as one of crime and an irrational fear of violence. We see endless discussions from collectivists insisting that citizens do not “need” military type weapons for hunting or self defense – the System’s accepted purpose for your irrational desire to own firearms. So called assault weapons are evil and unnecessary, therefore only the police should be thus armed. The so called Right counters that gun bans do nothing but make crime worse and that citizens must be able to defend themselves, with these weapons if need be.

Both are false premises because the 2nd Amendment was clearly written as an individual right so that citizen’s militias would be independent of the State. A counter balance the founders left us to prevent what has arisen: a State monopoly in the legitimate use of force. A doomsday provision that would never be needed until the State tried to take it. Even though this element does not seem to be the debate in MSM, the people seem to have understood clearly what’s up as the latest monthly volumes of gun and ammunition sales has skyrocketed, setting records.

These events and others affecting all of us directly and globally are simply not being reported or to find the kind way of saying it, grossly under-reported by MSM.  If there is any good news in this, people have been migrating to alternative news sources that are doing their best to report these issues in the light of what is really going on.  However, these venues are also loaded with disinformation specialists and shills, so it does take effort to sort the rat poop from the pepper. We do have one question that may be relevant. Are there any journalists out there in MSM with the courage or ability to do the right thing.  I know from many sources you are out there and frustrated, find a way to collectively “do the right thing”.

3 news monkeys

So here is the lesson. If it does resonate with you, don’t accept it.  If you don’t accept it, make an effort to find the “truth” of the issues on your own as best you can. You won’t always be successful given the fact this is very time consuming, but make the effort.  Share what you find with as many people as possible. Finally, as we are seeing in the Arab Spring, Anonymous, and Occupy efforts, withhold your consent to be governed and managed in this manner.  This only continues if we consent to let it continue. The oldest law of civilized communal living is that those who govern only really can do so by the consent of the people.