01/04/2014 @ 11:10 UTC
Good morning. Below is an updated look at the visible solar disk on Saturday. Solar activity remains at moderate levels. Sunspot 1944 continues to be the most active, largest, and threatening sunspot on the Earth facing side of the sun. The active region was responsible for three low level M-Flares during the past 24 hours, including an M1.3 event at 10:25 UTC early Saturday morning. Minor separation was noted primarily between the two large leader spots, and the plethora of smaller trailing spots. There will remain a chance for a strong solar flare within the next 24 hours. All other visible regions remain stable. Sunspots 1936 and 1940 are now located off the west limb and out of direct Earth view. No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were detected during the past 24 hours. Stay tuned to SolarHam.com for the latest space weather news and information.
Event probabilities 04 Jan-06 Jan
Class M 75/75/75
Class X 30/30/30
A strong X class flare could affect radio/communications. It also could disrupt the electrical grid. Given the cold temperatures power loss could have significant impacts. Have a back-up plan for heat if you can.