As our regular readers know, we are constantly monitoring natural events that may pose hazards for us all. We don’t make predictions, only report on events that raise the possibilities of future natural disasters or impacts. We are raising our alert levels to yellow for the following 7-14 days.
The reasons are elevating solar activities that have resulted in several M-Class Flares and two X-class flares within the last 48 hours. While the resulting CMEs so far have not been earth directed, the areas of the extreme activity are rotating into earth view and are showing no sign of weakening. There is a better than 50% chance of earth directed M-Class flares for the next 72 hours. In our estimation there is at least a 25% chance of an X-Class flare for the 72 hours. These of course could be accompanied by large to severe CMEs.
This combines with an increase of 4.7+ earthquake activity that we have been monitoring for the past few weeks. Our concern is not so much where the earthquakes have been occurring as much as where they are NOT occurring. A brief explanation here: Plates are dynamic, so when one side is moving, the opposite and opposing side has to “adjust’ to that movement. On occasion, the plates can “lock” and thereby resist this adjustment. The bad news here is that the locked side of the plate usually builds a large amount of stress which can then be released with a sudden and violent “snap” if you will. Such a situation now exists along the West Coast of the US, Canada, and Mexico.
Combining these events, along with some anecdotal information such as the predictions of a global coastal event from places like FarSight.org and Half Past Human for an event around the 19-23 May is enough for us to issues this warning alert. Make sure you pay attention, have your “Bug Out” bags ready to go, especially if yu are within 50 miles of a coast line and less than 500′ in elevation.