Sunspot 1611 is growing in complexity and an M1 Flare has lifted from the eastern limb. A CME from the solar prominence has also lifted off, but does not look earth directed. However, given the increase in activity there is a 70% chance on an M Class flare with an associated CME over the next four days. This could be significant enough to effect satellites, radio communications, especially in the northern latitudes and there is also a possibility of disruption of various computer networks.
An X Class flare and large CME erupted on the backside of the sun two days ago that if earth directed would have caused severe disruption to the power grid. Therefore keep close watch as it seems Ole Sol is winding up a bit.
III. Event probabilities 21 Nov-23 Nov Class M 70/70/70 Class X 15/15/15 Proton 15/15/15 PCAF green